Survivor 2 - Lucky Keith
Episode 8 (where Alicia is voted out): Prior to the tribal council proceedings, host Jeff explains to the castaways that everybody has a 1 in 9 shot at a million dollars.
Well, this isn't entirely correct. Keith, who won immunity, was safe from being voted out that tribal council. Therefore, at the time, he had a 1 in 8 shot at a million.
on 03-16-2001 and